The Thrill of Victory (“Shellacking’” Part II), and Agony of Defeat – A Bullet Dodged




The “Shellacking’” Part 2

Following is a log of my Facebook posts, with dates and times – beginning on election evening, and aftermath posts, exchanges, and commentary.


Nov 8

6:50pm: So far, so good, this election night. No matter how it turns out, I'm loving it seeing the shock of the ABC crew at how close it is in many states Hillary was thought to do better in, and how well Trump is doing generally, especially in the battleground states. Interesting that they're noting a divide largely by rural vs urban America.

7:42:  New York Times projection: 91% chance Trump wins. Panic in the Democrat camp. Pre-election odds were something like 75% for Hillary.

7:45: Trump has won Ohio & North Carolina! And winning Florida.

8:08:  Florida called for Trump. Hillary's path to 270 now more questionable than Trump's.

8:10: Utah for Trump.

8:20: The GOP is holding the Senate & House.

8:30: The Blue Wall has been broken -- Wisconsin for Trump!!!

8:55:  Trump has 254 electoral votes, and is significantly ahead in NH & AZ, giving him 269 at least. Even if he only ties with that and gets no more, then the House gives it to Trump. One way or the other, it's president Trump. Oh, I just noticed he's ahead in Michigan, which is another path to a tie-breaker with 16 votes there.

9:47pm (not long before I went to bed): In Monty Python terms, "And now, for something completely different..."


9:19pm:  The last time a Republican president had both houses of Congress was 1928. (I mistakenly passed on what I heard from one pundit, but was fact-check-corrected by my nephew.)

11/9/16

One Facebook response:  Fantastic. A narcissistic misogynistic monster with no brakes on him.

Like · Reply · 17 hrs
Mark Clayson
Mark Clayson As far as I can tell, he's an equal opportunity offender when he gets his dander up, whatever the term for that is. Seems to hire and work well with lots of professional women who praise him, and has a good family. Much less a "monster" (or narcissistic) in many more significant ways than Bill and Hillary (who are better at covering their flaws, or having the biased media and corrupt agencies ignore them), and much more palatable from a policy standpoint. Yes,Obama did significant damage with no brakes his first 2 years -- disasters like Obamacare, massive ineffective debt spending, etc. But the GOP isn't as monolithic and Kool-Aid drinking as the Dems, and Trumps near-term proposals certainly don't sound disastrous. He's hired solid men and women so far, and proposed solid SCOTUS nominees. Of course we'll see, but a lot of the election hysteria about Trump is largely just that. Just like a lot of other hysteria the Left hypes, and that fortunately at least this time the American people largely saw through. Including many Republicans all too aware of his flaws. But also apparently many undecideds and independents who were apparently won over by his openness and reflection of their concerns, and put off by Hillary's facade, corruption, identity politics (can we look beyond race, gender, etc. for the bigger picture?), lies and more of the same failed policies.

[A Neighbor:]  “Yeah, and despite the fact that he has NO IDEA how he's going to accomplish that goal. Repeal NAFTA? Yeah right. Build a wall? Yeah right. Punish women who are pro-choice? Yeah right…….Ironic that you were standing behind me to vote!!!

[My response to a neighbor:] I thought your dream about Bill Clinton you related [while in line] was interesting. I think we were both uncertain & apprehensive of the outcome, and maybe that helped our civility. But you had more reason to hope than I did with the polls and pundits favoring Hillary. I think we were both surprised. I remember how surprised and devastated I was 4 years ago after my hopes were so high, and all I'd invested in it, and my mother literally went into seclusion for a couple or few days. I'm well aware of Trump's faults -- I blogged about them for months during the primaries. He was my very last choice -- maybe you even noticed I put my Cruz-Carly sign up for a few days before putting up my Trump signs, acknowledging my regrets.

But everything is relative, and more important to me than personal flaws (of which Hillary also has her share as I've noted), or race, or gender, are basic philosophical and policy differences between the parties and platforms that the candidates are committed to. I'm sure we both love our country (and hopefully we can both hope and pray that Trump will act wisely), and just differ on how best to run it. I just feel that a change is sorely needed from failed policies of the past 8 years that would largely be continued.

In every election there is some demonization of the opponent, but this one was particularly vitriolic. And I see unusual animosity towards Trump. Similar to that towards Bush, whose legitimacy was also questioned. I thought our leaders (Obama, Hillary & Trump) set a good example for us, that after all their personal attacks, they so graciously conceded (or accepted) and said we need to come together. I hope people will at least give Trump a chance. I know he's sometimes inarticulate -- he's new at politics -- and I think often misunderstood. Most important is what he actually accomplishes, which only time will tell. I sense he does have basic goodness and love of country, and desire to make it better -- he's sacrificed and suffered a lot to get here. As did Hillary. I would have accepted her as my president. Although I would be critical. And I will be critical of Trump when I think he needs it.

[Neighbor] Hi mark! Well, I was seriously depressed for a few days after the election. I was shocked! I thought, after all that Trump said and did, that people would realize what type of person he is. Sure Hillary has her faults, but at least she understands the system and knows her way around within it. DT has absolutely no experience, not even City Council....and why do people keep sayinig he's such a "good businessman"? His casino failed, his university failed, and it seems like his talent for making money is just for his own selfish satisfaction. Didn't he exploit a lot of people to make that money? I don't get the feeling he wants to help people as you seem to think. I think Michael Moore was right in saying that he is a con artist, and said and did a lot of things just to gain power, which seems to be his primary motivation. I am truly frightened to think what he might do when negotiations or confrontations with Iran or Korea get stressful. He seems to have very little self-discipline or restraint. What has he "sacrificed and suffered"? Hillary was sooo much more qualified. I'm scared. And thinking of moving to another country. You've been a great neighbor. : ) C.

[To my Neighbor], thanks for the "vote" of confidence as a neighbor -- that means a lot. I think you're also a great neighbor. I sense that we're each getting our information about the candidates from completely different, and not unbiased, sources. You're right about his government inexperience, but apparently that was exactly what many voters wanted -- someone outside the "system." And same for the Sanders supporters. Sometimes those too comfortable in the system are prone to continuing the bad aspects that people are weary of. Some go as far as saying Hillary's dealings were corrupt misuse of government influence (see "Clinton Cash") -- we'll see what the ongoing investigations conclude. At an estimated net worth of $3.7 billion, Trump has clearly had more success than failure. In any business there will be some failures. But through it he's employed many people who are very loyal, and that benefits the government, as well. These days capitalism seems to almost be a dirty word -- "for profit." But business that don't make a profit don't last, and don't provide salaries to employees. Some would say Hillary, too, is power-hungry. And almost anyone running for president has an ego. I think one indication of the kind of man Trump is that was acknowledged by Hillary is the quality of his children. And he has a good marriage. He apologized to his wife for those statements made 11 years ago. As to sacrifice, much of Trump's campaign was self-financed, and he will not be keeping any salary as president. He and his family were, and continue to be, subjected to a lot of hatred. He seems to be showing discipline & restraint in his meetings with the president of Mexico, president Obama, etc. Only time will tell whether he really will help people as he insists he wants to, including especially inner city disadvantaged.


[My Facebook commentary on the following cartoon:] Bon Voyage and good riddance. And the protesters can join them -- they say Trump's not their president. Maybe they prefer Chavez or Castro.


An email from the president-elect:
Mark,
They said we could never do it.


But last night you showed the world that America will once again be a country of, for, and by the PEOPLE.
You fought like a winner, you defied all odds, and history will forever remember the role you played in taking our country back.
I never could’ve done it without you, Mark. Your contributions, your sacrifices, and your unyielding commitment to our movement made last night possible!
Thank you
Last night we learned that America is still a beacon of hope where the impossible is possible.
For far too long, we’ve heard Washington politicians give the excuse that “it can’t be done.” They say we can’t balance the budget, we can’t stop corruption, we can’t control the border, we can’t bring jobs back to our country.
I REFUSE to accept that it can’t be done. This is the country that declared its independence, won two world wars, and landed a man on the moon. This is America. We can and we WILL get it done.
Now it’s time to start uniting our country and binding the wounds of our divided nation. I promise to be a president for ALL Americans. I will work for you. I will fight for you. And I will win for you.
You will soon remember what it’s like to win as an American.
Thank you and God bless you,
Donald J. Trump


America didn’t believe the hysteria & scare tactics about Trump, or fall for celebrity endorsements of Hillary.

We don’t know exactly what Trump will do, although there are some specifics & policies given during the campaign.  Wait and see – it will be the change from the last 8 yrs that the electorate demands.  He continues to reach out with polls to his supporters to help define the agenda – he listens.

Paul Krugman of NYT: “I don’t understand the country I live in” – yes, that’s the Left’s problem.

Dennis Prager: “I feel relief – massive relief.”

A couple of hints this was coming.  1. Focus groups of undecideds/independents on both CNN & Fox were breaking strongly for Trump after the debates – they don’t fall for the polished but calculating, insincere, elitist claptrap of the Left.  2. Many more people follow Trump on Twitter than Pres. Obama.

The concession and victory speeches were gracious, which should be good to help heal a very divided nation after an unusually contentious election.

Rubio, Cruz & Medved:  “God’s not done with America, yet.”

Regarding the student protesters saying “not my president,” isn’t that as bigoted as if conservatives had done the same about Obama?  Of course they would have been accused of racism, and disrespect.  Some protesters said “Love trumps hate.”  Indulging in a bit of sarcasm, yes, and their gracious election loss is a very fine example of that, and the Left’s usual loving and tolerant demeanor towards any who disagree with them.  But if it makes them feel better, I suppose they need to vent.  If any of them don’t think we conservatives felt every bit as devastated and concerned at the last 2 presidential race losses, they’d better think again.  My mother literally went into seclusion for 2 or 3 days – even from the rest of her family.  But you didn’t see us having a nervous breakdown, or throwing tantrums and riots in the streets.  That, of course, is what they accused Trump’s supporters of threatening.  Again, projection. 

They are the ones who are against lawful, orderly & peaceful transfer of power.  And school administrators are fanning the flames and promoting all this.  A counselor on GMA suggested telling kids after the election it’s not OK to criticize people unfairly – clearly imputing that to Trump.  Of course Democrat criticism is all “fair.”  The protesters are narcissistic – “me” can’t understand the notion of “we.”  They’ve been coddled, and played sports with no winners or losers, and now they can’t deal with the real world.  Why do they shut down L.A. freeways, when California (especially the big coastal cities) went overwhelmingly for Hillary.  They think of themselves as morally superior (“love trumps hate,” “they go low, we go high”) – they talk the talk, but when the rubber hits the road, they can’t walk the walk.

They continue to say how unfair it is for Hillary to have won the popular vote and lost the election.  And they and Stein continue to seek subverting the electoral college, and pursuing recounts in battleground states. 

It’s ironic that the Dems often accuse the GOP of fear tactics, but all I heard from the Dems & media was fear and demonization hyped over Trump.  Which has resulted in all this heightened fear being vented in the streets, on the stage, etc.  Just like the hyped “systemic campaign” by police to shoot unarmed Blacks, which has resulted in a continuing toll in ambushed police – 4 more on Nov. 20.  Their hysteria has consequences.  And they show no concern over it.  Take a breath, and give Trump a chance to deliver on helping the Black, and all, communities.  Even Hillary & Obama, after all the terrible things they said about Trump and his supporters, were very civil and gracious in defeat – at least publicly.
This is getting really nasty, going so far as to promote, as many have, disowning relatives & friends who voted for Trump – even at this holiday season.  What happened to liberal tolerance, love and diversity?  And “love trumps hate?”  And “They go low, we go high?”  Did you ever see conservatives descending to such narcissistic, hateful tactics?

11/11/16

Sure, Trump’s rough around the edges – not the 30-year polished politician Hillary was.  Medved quoted Shakespeare’s Henry V who’d been a rowdy prince, cavorting with Flagstaff in the taverns, etc.  But upon coronation, he became disciplined and one of the best kings of England.  Trump has so far given similar indications.  People can focus on, or try to bring out, the best or worst in him. 

Even Michael Moore recognized that this election was not about bigotry/racism/misogyny, etc., but rather regular, middle-class people who are tired of having their economic concerns ignored [and tired of being called bigoted, racist, misogynist, etc.].  But we continue to hear echoes of their old lines – “whitelash,” etc.

All this griping about the electoral college not being democratic is ridiculous.  The founders set up a republic, not a strict democracy.  There were good reasons for the electoral college, as I’ve shared outlined in Prager U’s short video.  These people need some basic lessons on civics that they obviously slept through in school.  There are rules, and Trump played to win the electoral college, not the popular vote.  If the rules were for popular vote, Trump could have campaigned more in California & New York, and probably without too much trouble made up the relatively small difference that Hillary had in the popular vote.  But you don’t change the rules after the game’s over.  It’s happened a few times before that the electoral winner didn’t also win the popular vote.  Get over it.  We’re a nation of law, not the French revolution.  It was settled at the ballot box.

Congressional Democrats – “It would be a mistake to overreach your mandate.”  Yes, like Obama & Obamacare 8 years ago when they unilaterally shoved it down our throat, with no bipartisanship, because, as he said, “elections have consequences.”  Yes, and by the same arguments, this president & Congress have every bit as much right to repeal and replace Obamacare – unilaterally.

11/14/16
An interesting self-assessment of what the Dems did wrong -- beyond the campaign.

The party bears plenty of blame for its sorry lot — and for the country’s.
NYTIMES.COM|BY FRANK BRUNI

My thoughts:  GOP outreach – “give me a chance…what have you got to lose?”  Democrat outreach – “a basket of deplorables, bigoted, xenophobic, sexist, racist, …. Irredeemable.”


A great 5 minute video explaining the electoral college vs popular vote and why the former is so important. Dems are not only pushing to reverse the results of this election, but I was not aware of the National Popular Vote (NPV) effort already nearing its goal of defeating the purpose of the electoral college. Bad idea.



Right now, there's a well-organized, below-the-radar effort to render the Electoral College effectively useless. It's called the National Popular Vote, and it would turn our presidential elections into a majority-rule affair. Would this be good or bad? Author,…
PRAGERU.COM

Messages from President Obama relevant to the protesters & 25% of Hillary voters polled who don't accept Donald Trump as their president, as well as Democrat critics of his appointees & policies:


"Elections have consequences."
"I'm not on the ballot, but my legacy is."

Ann Coulter has the last laugh after this prescient statement about Trump in an appearance on Bill Mahr in June 2015, when she was laughed to scorn. And brilliant Obama got it wrong, as well. I've long been a fan of Ann, and have several of her books, including "Adios, America," and generally agreed. But we parted ways during much of the primary contest when she went with Trump. I did return when Trump was the nominee. I guess I should have stuck with her all along.

Ann Coulter correctly predicted Trump would "Win" over a year. Got Laughed at by 100s of lib
Here's another clip where Ann goes on to give her 2nd choice(s), whom I agreed with at the time.

YOUTUBE.COM

More Leftist hysteria – they have to promulgate the lie that Trump is anti-semitic to bolster the slanderous Hitler/Nazi analogy and demonize/marginalize him before he even takes office.  It’s ludicrous – his son-in-law for whom he has great love & respect is Jewish, and his grandchild(ren), and other kids are dating Jews.  And he’s been a strong proponent of Israel, unlike this administration.  They said if Reagan won, the KKK would be in the White House.  Biden said “they’ll put y’all back in chains.”  Is it any wonder their children (young and old) are anxious and concerned about their future under Trump?  They’ve built quite a bogeyman. 

11/15/16
Ryan – “If we’re going to put this country back on the right track, we’ll have to be bold, and go big.”  Echoes of the 2013 Scout National Jamboree – “Go big, get wild.”

11/17/16
Prager & guest psychologist who did a Prager U video on vitamin N (“No!”) that kids today are deficient in.

11/18/16
Trump is now doing a real life “Apprentice” – interviewing and hiring administration members.  Mark Levin, one of the strongest critics of Trump, loved Trump’s picks of Flynn, Pompeo & Sessions, and the Left hates them – so good choices. 
Trump & Pence met w. Mitt Romney!!  After all the bad blood between them.  They are both big enough to put aside their differences and look out for the best interests of the country.  Maybe Trump will assemble somewhat of a “team of rivals,” as Lincoln did.  Unifying and broadening the party.

11/29/16
The “whoopin’” (Obama’s term for the previous Congressional election) that began in 2014 (see below) with countrywide GOP gains across the states in governorships & state legislatures, setting all-time records, pretty much held & continued again this year, extending to the presidency.


“Republican gains extended to state legislative chambers as well. Before Election Day, the GOP controlled 59 of 98 partisan legislative chambers across the country. On Tuesday, preliminary results showed Republicans had won control of both the Nevada Assembly and Senate, the Colorado Senate and state House chambers in Minnesota, New Mexico, Maine, West Virginia and New Hampshire. That would give the party control of 67 chambers, five more than their previous record in the modern era, set after special elections in 2011 and 2012. It also would give Republicans total control of 24 states, in which they hold the governor’s mansion and both chambers of the state legislature (Nebraska’s unicameral legislature is technically nonpartisan, but in practice Republicans control the chamber by a wide margin). Democrats, by contrast, are likely to control all three legs of the governing stool in only six states.

Since that piece was published, there have been additional updates.  State Senates in Maine and West Virginia have officially gone red, meaning that the GOP will field majorities in 69 out of 98 partisan legislatures (Nebraska's state legislature is unicameral and nonpartisan).  For those keeping score at home, that's 70 percent of all legislatures.  And that's with Republican governors presiding over nearly two-thirds of all states.  

2014: “Obama's legacy. He didn't make the oceans recede, but he sure made the country a whole lot redder.




















11/30/16

2016 By the Numbers

Electoral College: Trump 306, Hillary 232 (270 needed to win)
Popular vote: Hillary 64.9M (48.1%), Trump 62.5M (46.4%) or 1.8% difference
Senate: GOP 51, Dem 48
House: GOP 239, Dem 194 (218 needed for control)

Mark Levin reported a legitimate poll that 18% of voters liked neither Trump nor Hillary, but they broke about 60% for Trump, 30% for Hillary, especially in the critical battleground states.  And that basically decided the election.  In other words, the people who held their noses on Trump in order to stop Hillary who was recognized as much more troublesome.  He also noted that Obama was a rare exception to the last several decades where no Democrat got more than 50% of the vote, but several Republicans have.  Hillary got more votes than Trump, but she didn’t get the majority of votes in the country – most people voted against her.

[from https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Congress_elections,_2016]  “A total of 469 seats in the U.S. Congress (34 Senate seats and all 435 House seats) were up for election on November 8, 2016.[1]

The big story of the 2016 congressional election cycle was whether or not the Democratic Party would be able to regain control of the Senate. In order to take the chamber back, Democrats needed to gain five seats in 2016. They fell short of this goal, only picking up two seats in the general election. The majority of vulnerable seats were held by Republican incumbents, many of whom were freshmen who were swept into office in the Tea Party wave of 2010. As a result of this wave, Democrats only had 10 seats to defend in 2016, while 24 Republican incumbents were up for re-election.[2]

The unexpected death of Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia on February 13, 2016, placed even greater importance on the 2016 Senate elections. Confirmation of a new Supreme Court justice requires 60 votes in the Senate, giving the Republican-controlled Senate the ability to deny any nominee chosen by President Barack Obama. Several Republican senators, including Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, declared that the next president should have the responsibility of appointing the new justice. McConnell said in a statement, "The American people‎ should have a voice in the selection of their next Supreme Court Justice. Therefore, this vacancy should not be filled until we have a new President."[3]

Appointment and confirmation of the replacement justice will be left to the newly elected president and Senate in 2017. This put increased pressure on both parties to win the Senate in 2016, as the chamber has the ability to confirm or deny the next president's nominees. This also raised the issue of Republican obstructionism in some battleground states. Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) said of the issue, "I believe that many of the mainstream Republicans, when the president nominates a mainstream nominee, will not want to follow Mitch McConnell over the cliff. The American people don't like this obstruction. When you go right off the bat and say, 'I don't care who he nominates, I am going to oppose him,' that's not going to fly."[3][4]

Although it was extremely unlikely for Democrats to retake the House, the possibility had been discussed prior to the election. In order to flip control of the chamber, the Democratic Party would have needed to pick up 30 seats. Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated 23 races as battlegrounds and an additional 14 as races to watch. If Democrats had won every one of those 37 races and lost no other seats, they would have just hit the 30 seats required to retake the chamber. As expected, the Republican Party easily held the chamber, losing just six seats.[5][6][7]

Past partisan breakdowns
Senate
House
Year
Democrats
Republicans
Independents[45]
Net change
Democrats
Republicans
Net change
2014
44
54
2
+9 R
188
247
+13 R
2012
53
45
2
+2 D
201
234
+8 D
2010
51
47
2
+6 R
193
242
+64 R
2008
57
41
2
+8 D
257
178
+24 D
2006
49
49
2
+5 D
233
202
+22 D







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