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Showing posts with the label Rubio

Cryin’ Donald, Contested Conventions & Real Enemies

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Contents   Primary Update Cryin’ Donald Contested or “Brokered” Conventions Trump’s Character The Real Enemies Trump’s “Conservative Credentials” Primary Update Since my last post, Rubio has dropped out.  After a week of malaise, I decided that I must back Cruz – not only to stop Trump who would be a disaster, but because Cruz is the most principled, conservative, constitutional candidate left in the race.  And so I have contributed to his campaign, and applied to be a convention delegate for California, supporting him.  My new slogan: “Dump Trump, and Choose Cruz!” Finally, in Utah, an educated electorate – Cruz got 70% of the vote.  And Utah is the per capita best-educated, and principled. Of the 2472 total delegates to be won, 1723 have been selected in 35 state primaries so far (as of April 23).  Trump has 845, or 49% of them, and would need 392 more to reach the 1237 threshold to avoid a contested convention....

A Nightmare Election

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Will someone please wake me from this nightmarish GOP (& Democrat) election?  While Rubio shone brightly in the last GOP debate, especially on foreign (incl. Cuba) policy, and Trump was his usual blithering self, things continue to look bleak for Rubio.  His path to regular nomination is now mathematically nearly impossible, even if he wins Florida, which the polls show questionable.  It may only be feasible in a contested convention, if none of the candidates reach the magic number.   At least we have put behind us some of the childish taunts of the previous debate, where Rubio momentarily stooped to Trump's level. Various conservative pundits (Hewett, Medved, Romney…) are promoting strategic voting – everyone against Trump vote for the other candidate with the best chance to win that state – i.e., Kasich in Ohio, Rubio in Florida, …  We’ll see if the message gets out & received.  It may stop Trump’s mo...

Trump & Rubio in the Balance and Doing the Math

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     1.  Recap of Primary & Debate News 2.     Why not Trump? 3.     Do the Math 4.     Why Rubio? 5.     Democrats, Socialists & Republicans Recap of Primary & Debate News Iowa . Looks like it was basically a 3-way GOP tie in Iowa, with Rubio making a surprisingly strong showing -- voters are finally getting to know him, after the distractions of the loud, shiny frontrunners. And Trump was shown to be beatable.   Rubio's speech was presidential -- articulate, visionary and heartfelt. Finally the Summer & Fall of Trump appears to be over. So the Iowa "carcases" are Paul, Bush, Christie, Kasich, Fiorina, Carson & Huckabee (who just dropped out officially), each getting 1-5%. On the Democrat side, an even tighter tie between Hillary & the dinosaur Socialist, which shows how disliked Hillary is, and/or how far Left the party has gone. For what it's worth, putt...